Pecohub Nigeria’s scheduled air capacity is set to decline for the second consecutive quarter in Q4 2025, according to the IATA Quarterly Air Transport Chartbook Q3 2025.
The projection places Nigeria among the few African markets expected to experience a double-digit contraction in seat capacity for the period.
In contrast, other major African markets such as Egypt and South Africa are projected to expand seat capacity by 8.6% and 11.8% year-on-year, respectively.
Tanzania is expected to lead the continent in seat capacity growth with a robust 21% increase.
The latest chartbook confirms that Nigeria’s scheduled capacity is set to fall for the second quarter in a row, continuing the trend observed in Q3 2025.
“Schedules for the next quarter are in line with what was planned for Q3 (Chart 32). For Q4 2025, Tanzania is projected to lead seat capacity growth, with a robust 21% YoY increase. The biggest markets in Africa, Egypt and South Africa, are expected to grow by 8.6% YoY and 11.8% YoY, respectively.
“Scheduled capacity in Nigeria looks set to decrease by double digits for the second consecutive quarter, while Algeria could see growth of 11.8% YoY. Tunisia and Ghana are also likely to expand in Q4 2025, following a relative stability in Q3,” the report read in part.
